Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1.320539 1.560589 1.811737 2.092458 2.395921 2.712649 3.066811
2024-12-22 0.955782 1.284623 1.651294 2.083377 2.572174 3.102335 3.715444
2024-12-29 0.773662 1.145258 1.578934 2.108170 2.724014 3.407272 4.212549
2025-01-05 0.627389 1.024927 1.510088 2.121549 2.850938 3.675829 4.663274
2025-01-12 0.494797 0.899154 1.416026 2.088248 2.908881 3.853146 4.999054
2025-01-19 0.445490 0.875291 1.442945 2.196930 3.131252 4.218111 5.548254
2025-01-26 0.407156 0.860266 1.476628 2.310406 3.356747 4.584957 6.098509
2025-02-02 0.379334 0.856041 1.521588 2.436008 3.595682 4.967032 6.666459
2025-02-09 0.361272 0.863540 1.580481 2.578256 3.854485 5.372634 7.262353
2025-02-16 0.326822 0.840599 1.594415 2.659873 4.036487 5.685419 7.748502
2025-02-23 0.280562 0.791959 1.568039 2.685229 4.145630 5.908783 8.127610
2025-03-02 0.209283 0.688226 1.454431 2.587797 4.094493 5.933973 8.267694
2025-03-09 0.150071 0.596386 1.355369 2.511625 4.076051 6.007954 8.479021
2025-03-16 0.109429 0.530128 1.289137 2.476658 4.108282 6.142942 8.763411
2025-03-23 0.087623 0.498906 1.274980 2.512603 4.231376 6.389097 9.181040
2025-03-30 0.066014 0.460716 1.245694 2.524356 4.320865 6.592362 9.546073
2025-04-06 0.043318 0.408228 1.186636 2.488680 4.344032 6.710071 9.804738
2025-04-13 0.039856 0.414665 1.231385 2.608047 4.577599 7.095302 10.393699
2025-04-20 0.037211 0.423135 1.279688 2.732923 4.819031 7.491085 10.996448
2025-04-27 0.035885 0.436100 1.336291 2.870673 5.078523 7.910522 11.629261
2025-05-04 0.036134 0.455195 1.404454 3.026413 5.363185 8.362760 12.303505
2025-05-11 0.031054 0.451266 1.429223 3.115606 5.556531 8.698428 12.833786
2025-05-18 0.022494 0.427377 1.414661 3.143299 5.664567 8.924439 13.227944